Ipswich Town: Supercomputer predicts final Premier League 24/25

As the Premier League season enters its second international break and seven games have already been played, let’s examine the most recent supercomputer predictions.

First, some positive news. The Blues are outperforming so far this season, according to the boffins at Opta. Naturally, Town is in 17th place with four points from seven games, one point and one spot above the dreadful drop zone.

The data scientists at Opta are impressed by that and have developed an expected table based on xG (anticipated goals), which they used to forecast match results from 10,000 simulations and build the table. Town should be at the bottom of the standings according to that estimate, yet they are performing far better than that. Leicester (19th expected, 15th actual), Arsenal (8th expected, 3rd actual), Brighton (9th expected, 6th actual), Newcastle (11th expected, 7th actual), and Brentford (14th expected, 11th actual) are some of the other overachievers to far.

One well-known name sticks out among the underachievers. Manchester United is in 14th place while they should be in 10th. Spurs are in a similar situation as well (4th anticipated, 9th actual). Long may Town continue to outperform expectations.

Town has consistently been one of the favorites to lose, and that is still the case. Town finishes in 18th position, the final relegation spot, in a projected final table created by Oddschecker based on odds and the most recent betting. According to the prediction, Southampton is at the bottom, Leicester is in 19th place, and Wolves is barely escaping relegation. According to their table, Arsenal is predicted to win the championship before Manchester City. Interestingly, though, 10.9% of wagers on Town are for them to finish in the top half of the table, suggesting that some bettors are impressed with the Blues as a possible dark horse.

In fact, since the Premier League season began, Ipswich has only been backed to lose 6% of all relegation wagers made through Oddschecker. That places them only sixth among the most well-liked relegation wagers.

Powered by Grovesnor Sport, one supercomputer outperforms the others by forecasting each team’s number of wins, draws, and losses in addition to goal differentials and ultimate point total. With five victories, seven draws, and 26 losses from their 38 games, Town will finish in 19th place. With a projected goal differential of minus 42, the Blues would thus have 22 points. In this scenario, they would finish five points behind Wolves, the other relegated team, and seven points ahead of rock bottom Southampton. Leicester City barely makes it through each day.

In the projection, Manchester United finish all the way down in ninth spot, which would be their worst-ever Premier League season.

The full predicted final table is: